2005 Oscar Awards Predictions
All the net is abuzz with Oscar talk, and someone has guessed using Google the winners. Personally, I think the Google index is both too slow to update, and far too old to effectively gauge current movie interest. Instead, I’d prefer to use something like Technorati to make my Oscar predictions.
There are a lot of ways to do this, of course–using a combination of averaged, weighted Netflix, Amazon, Google, Technorati, etc. data would be one way to go, but it’s almost as arbitrary as any one of the services, depending on how you weight them. The goal is to break each nominee into obvious clusters, for each award. So, I’ll just Technorati counts, even though perhaps I should weight them by authority.
- Best Picture goes to Ray
- Best Actor goes to Jamie Foxx for Ray
- Best Actress goes to Hilary Swank for Million Dollar Baby
- Best Animated Film goes to The Incredibles
- Best Foreign Film goes to The Chorus
But the Oscars are due in any minute–so lets see how I do!!
Update: Get the Oscar winners here. I was wrong on Best Picture, which went to Million Dollar Baby, and Best Foreign Film, which went to The Sea Inside. I did get the rest right, for a blogosphere prediction rate of 60%. Not bad, guys!
This entry was posted on Monday, February 28th, 2005 at 1:28 am and is tagged with best foreign film, best animated film, 2005 oscar awards, google index, million dollar baby, best actress, oscar predictions, google, amazon, oscar winners, hilary swank, technorati, jamie foxx, best actor, bad guys, best picture, incredibles, oscars, clusters. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback.
on February 28th, 2005 at 2:38 am
I must say I was dissapointed by the winners this year. I really did not believe that they truly represented the best, but rather the most popular cashcow among the moms and pop moviegoer.
Oh wait… same deal last year… and the year before.
This is why I don’t watch the Oscars no more.
on February 28th, 2005 at 3:27 am
Although, the esoteric categories like Best Foreign are probably still pure. Also, Best Animated was very deserved this year–although I think everything Pixar does is awesome. It would be interesting to gether more blogosphere popularity data and do a proper comparison. Then we can see if the Oscars really do slant for popular opinion over actual merit…