Elliott C. Back: Technology FTW!

HPV Vaccine: Not for Christians?

Posted in Health, Quantitative, Religion, Science by Elliott Back on March 21st, 2007.

I don’t buy the religious argument that getting the HPV vaccine for young women is immoral. HPV is a nasty, prevalent virus and should be eradicated with as much expediency as possible:

Gardasil, which was approved by the FDA last June, protects against four strains of human papillomavirus (HPV). Two are believed to cause 70% of cervical cancer, which strikes about 11,000 U.S. women a year. The other two strains cause 90% of genital warts–so the vaccine is a twofer.

According to the Time article, 40% of women carry the virus 2 years after sexual maturity, say at 18 years of age. By age 50, 80% of women have it in some form or another. Let’s assume the vaccine Gardasil was 90% efficient in preventing HPV; then after 50 years just 8% of women would carry the virus. Assuming everyone in America decided to vaccinate their daughters, they would see their great-grandchildren’s generation entirely disease free:

hpv-rate.jpg

This is simply the converging sequence population*(1 - effective rate)^n. There are other factors to take into account, like the number of people who opt to receive the vaccine, which will initially be quite low, combined with the likelyhood of them being a transmitter of the virus. Since my math is sketchy tonight I feel like modeling a markov chain, but suffice to say, preventing America’s young women from contracting HPV is a good thing.

Enlighten me where Christianity comes in, please? You could argue that educating your daughters will in the future promote their immorality because they will become erudite objects of desire, and it would be nearly parallel and equally nonsensical. Never let religion stand in the way of medicine.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, March 21st, 2007 at 6:47 pm and is tagged with human papillomavirus, gardasil, genital warts, sexual maturity, hpv vaccine, objects of desire, time article, cervical cancer, likelyhood, markov chain, twofer, effective rate, expediency, immorality, strains, great grandchildren, young women, christians, fda, christianity. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback.

Viewing 4 Comments

 

Trackbacks

(Trackback URL)

close Reblog this comment
blog comments powered by Disqus